This analysis of UP elections was used by TOI Online
You can read a version of the article bellow:
What appears beyond our imagination is seen as miraculous
and what happened in Uttar Pradesh elections was no less than a miracle.
On one hand, the social media is replete with jokes – a
cycle with a flat tyre, a hand bringing a cycle to halt, Rahul Gandhi saying his
work is now done and he can go on vacations – and on the other hand many
self-proclaimed social scientists and analysts are still calculating that what
exactly happened in UP. How did BJP get more 320 seats and more than 40% votes?
Which community voted for Bjp and what with what belief?
On a lighter note, I can say these people are writing the
wrong exam. This election was not about the maths of getting a majority but
about the right chemistry. In maths, typically, two plus two is four, whereas
in politics, two plus two can sometimes mean five, and sometimes even three. In
chemistry, a small drop of a chemical can change whole reaction. This assembly
election in UP brought all calculations to a naught. And the man who
transformed this political maths into chemistry is Prime Minister Narendra
Modi.
Since the beginning, Modi was confident of a resounding
victory. This confidence resonated in his campaign speeches. He reasserted,
time and again, that the modern-day UP has gone beyond mere assertion of identity.
Though a large chunk of the new generation in UP is still fighting for identity
it also wants development. Today’s UP does not want BSP but B-S-P
(Bijli-Sadak-Pani).
Modi understood this nerve of India. He has been trying to
ensure participation and involvement of every section of the society in public
life and uplifting their living standards. He also understands the needs of
different sections of the society and their perception of development.
To begin with, unrepresented sections of society were given
a place in BJP organisation. Several schemes were designed keeping in mind
specific requirements of different
marginalized social groups. At the time of ticket distribution, attempt
was made to give representation to every section of the society.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi tried to understand the issues
of every social group that had been kept out of the growth net so far. Once
voting data surfaces it will reveal how these sections of society joined the
BJP in these elections. Though, there would be hardly any sections of the
society who would not have voted for BJP in this election.
In the last 25 years, urban space has increased drastically
in UP. There are over 125 assembly seats which could be considered as urban
seats. Most of the youth here – irrespective of their caste – have unique needs
like education, employment, scholarship and Wi-Fi. This youth electorate is
connected to the pool of information through internet and has taken a liking to
the hardworking and untiring Modi who is constantly working for them.
More than two decades have passed since Mayawati and Mulayam
Singh first became the chief minister. There is a whole new generation now that
includes educated youth from Dalit and backward communities. Their requirements
are not the same as in the 1990s. A large segment of these youth also voted for
Modi in this election.
Our politicians never made any serious attempts to
understand the issues pertaining to women. However, PM Modi repeatedly talked
about girl child and women empowerment in his rallies. You can hear the ripples
of Ujjawala scheme in villages across the country where more than 15 million
LPG cylinders have been distributed in less than 12 months. One can say that
some of this would have also reached villages in UP with the message that the
PM is looking after people’s needs.
The backward communities in the state, that were not as
powerful as the Yadavs, also found a voice and hope in Modi. BJP fielded
representatives from these communities on more than 140 seats in the assembly
elections. Modi also ensured more than 50 seats for non-Jatav communities which
had been living under the shadow of Jatavs for many years. If Modi brought the
ideas of Deendayal Upadhyay’s Antyoday into action on ground, he also used Ram
Manohar Lohia’s social engineering which ensures people’s participation.
In all, the Prime Minister is breaking stereotypes that have
been a part of the political narrative for the last 70 years and put spanner in
India’s development. He understands the social fabric of the country and has
the uncanny ability to grasp its spirit, sense and scene. After all, a
government doesn’t just decide offhand to increase the price of LPG in the
sixth phase of voting.
In the end, in a state where BJP is known for Lord Rama and Ayodhya,
PM Modi spent three days in Kashi, the city of Baba Vishwanath. Now analyse
that!
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